2014 Fox Gurus Predictions Review

2014 Fox Gurus Predictions Review

More Fox Business Block gurus: ; Here were the 2014 stock market predictions:

Here are the returns from 1/1/2014 to 12/31/2014:

Dow: 16,557 to 17,823 (7.5%, or 10% including dividends)
SP500: 1,848 to 2,059 (11.4%, or 13.7% including dividends)
Nasdaq: 4,177 to 4,736 (13.4%, ; or 14% including dividends)
Oil was down 45% for the year.

On to the Fox Business Network gurus! ; These are 2014 predictions from the December 28th, 2013 shows. I included closing prices from Friday 12/27/2013 as the starting price. ; My comments follow each guru pick! ;

Bulls and Bears

Gary B. Smith: ; AET 40% gain, no matter what happens with Obamacare! ; Dow 16,500.

My comment: ; Gary’s forecast on the Dow was for a flat year, so that was a miss! ; Aetna stock went from $67.75 to $88.83 from 12/27/13 to 12/31/14. ; That’s a 31% winner. ; We’ll take it, Gary.

Jonas Max Ferris: DZZ 2x short gold, up 50% in 2014. ; Dow 15,500.

My comment: Jonas predicted a bad year for the market, and that didn’t happen! ; His high-beta gold short DZZ went from $7.57 on 12/27/13 to $7.56 at year’s end. ; That’s a little less than his 50% forecast.

John Layfield: ; SDRL and ; a 25% profit in 2014, not counting dividend. ; Dow 18,103.

My comment: The ever-optimistic John was very close with the Dow return. ; The last couple of 2014 market days took the Dow back under 18,000. ; But it was a bad year for oil stocks. ; SDRL $38.58 to $11.94 from 12/27/13 to 12/31/2014. ; That’s a big decline of 69%.

Cavuto on Business

Adam Lashinsky: ; VWNFX (Vanguard Windsor II fund) full of undervalued large companies. ; $36.58 on 12/27/13. ; I’m not sure about their distribution dates. The funded closed at $36.77 on 12/31.

My comment: ; The big Vanguard fund close the year at $37.31. ; I’m uncertain of their distributions, but it looks to have underperformed the SP500.

Gary Kaltbaum: ; TIF closed at $90.87 on 12/27/13. ; The markets are up and the rich are spending. ; The stock ended the year at $92.78.

My comment: ; TIF closed the year at $106.86, or a 17.6% return from the 12/27/13 pick.

Forbes on Fox

Elizabeth MacDonald: ; XAR, the ETF that tracks the S&P Aerospace and defense. ; It closed at $99.05 on 12/27/2013 and the year at $99.02.

My comment: ; XAR close 2014 at $109.25, or 10.3% gain from 12/27/13.

John Tamny: ; BBRY closed 12/27/2013 at $7.30, as “they’ve outsourced their manufacturing and that bodes well for next year.” ; Closed 12/31 at $7.44.

My comment: ; Blackberry closed the year at $10.98 for a gain of 50.4% from the 12/27/13 show. ; Big win! ; The stock was volatile all year long.

Cashin’ In

Jonathan Hoenig: Interest rates are going to go up in 2014, so buy JGBS to bet against bonds. ; The ticker was at $19.23 on 12/27/13 and finished the year at $19.37.

My comment: ; JGBS closed the year at $18.20. ; Everyone seemed to predict soaring interest rates in 2014. ; Didn’t happen!

Wayne Rogers: IBB – Biotech! ; This is a diversified ETF across the biotech sector. ; The ETF was at $225.92 on 12/27/13 and closed the year at $227.06.

My comment: ; Big year for Biotech! ; IBB closed out 2014 at $303.35, for a 34.3% gain.

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2014 Fox Gurus Predictions Review

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