A Dovish Fed Feeds the Stock Market Rally :: The Market Oracle …

A Dovish Fed Feeds the Stock Market Rally :: The Market Oracle …

A Dovish Fed Feeds the Stock Market Rally

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Stock Markets 2014Apr 10, 2014 – 09:50 AM GMT

By: PhilStockWorld


The interim rally that began yesterday picked up steam today, assisted by 2 PM FOMC minutes, which the market saw as accommodative in removing “outdated” the 6.5 percent unemployment target for raising interest rates. The S&P 500 opened higher and traded up to a narrow mid-day range prior to release of the Fed minutes. Promptly at 2 PM the index roared higher and overcame a bit of 3 PM selling with a second advance. It closed with a 1.09% gain for the day, just fractionally off its 1.11% intraday high.

The yield on the 10-year note finished at 2.71%, up 2 bps from yesterday’s close. The interim high yield was 3.04% at the end of 2013.

Here is a snapshot of the past five sessions, which shows the downtrend from the record intraday high and subsequent two-day advance.

Here is a daily chart of the SPY ETF. if volume is a clue, then it appears that participation in today’s rally was limited.

The S&P 500 is now up 1.29% for 2014.

Here is a longer perspective, starting with the all-time high prior to the Great Recession.

For a better sense of how these declines figure into a larger historical context, here’s a long-term view of secular bull and bear markets in the S&P Composite since 1871.

– Phil

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www.philstockworld.com

Philip R. Davis is a founder of Phil’s Stock World (www.philstockworld.com), a stock and options trading site that teaches the art of options trading to newcomers and devises advanced strategies for expert traders. Mr. Davis is a serial entrepreneur, having founded software company Accu-Title, a real estate title insurance software solution, and is also the President of the Delphi Consulting Corp., an M&A consulting firm that helps large and small companies obtain funding and close deals. He was also the founder of Accu-Search, a property data corporation that was sold to DataTrace in 2004 and Personality Plus, a precursor to eHarmony.com. Phil was a former editor of a UMass/Amherst humor magazine and it shows in his writing — which is filled with colorful commentary along with very specific ideas on stock option purchases (Phil rarely holds actual stocks). Visit: Phil’s Stock World (www.philstockworld.com)

© 2014 Copyright PhilStockWorld – All Rights Reserved Disclaimer: The above is a matter of opinion provided for general information purposes only and is not intended as investment advice. Information and analysis above are derived from sources and utilising methods believed to be reliable, but we cannot accept responsibility for any losses you may incur as a result of this analysis. Individuals should consult with their personal financial advisors.

PhilStockWorld

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