Case Study: Stock Price Manipulation Detection-EXEL


Case Study: Generating Alpha Against Social Stock Price Manipulation

A trading overview for generating alpha when stock price manipulation through social media is detected.

Company: Exelixis, Inc.
Ticker: EXEL

Trade to Execute: Short

Thesis: Based on previous Social Buy Signals, the company reversed each and every time. Social Manipulation Index Volatile over past 1 year. Market Sentiment 60% Sell. Aug 11th Earning Release Date Set - Anticipated Negative Based on Chatter Reduction.

Trade Executed:
  • Aug 3rd 6:35pm - Recommending Short for next day Aug 4th
  • Aug 4th Open - $6.25
  • Aug 4th Close - $6.62
  • Aug 4th Median Short Price: $6.30 (Sell)
  • Aug 11th Earning Released - Missed Earnings and reported Quarterly Loss
  • Aug 12th Mid Afternoon Price - $5.56
  • Aug 12th Mid Afternoon Buy to Cover @ 5.56
  • Per share return $0.74
  • 11% gain in 8 Calendar days
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