Download Letter (PDF)June 12, 2015Crescat Capital Quarterly Investor Letter Q2 2015Performance UpdateWe are pleased to report that the Crescat Global Macro Fund was recently named one of the top-ten performing global macro hedge funds by BarclayHedge for the three years ended 3/31/2015. As shown in the table below, all three Crescat strategies performed strongly in Q1 while the S&P 500 […]
Submitted by Lance Roberts via STA Wealth Management,This past week, Houston, where I live, was flooded by a torrential down pour. However, it was not the rain itself that was the problem, it was the surge in rivers that flow through Houston. As far away as Austin and Dallas, rainfall had already began to flow into the San Jacinto and […]
CHINA’S stockmarket has often been called a casino, with share prices bearing little connection to underlying economic conditions. But while the market has strayed from growth trends in the past, its divergence over the past few months has reached new extremes. Economic growth in the first quarter fell to 7%, the slowest annual figure in six years, but stocks have […]
Markets made a strong comeback on Friday as investors added beaten down stocks to their portfolios. Moreover, General Motors and Ford posted better-than-expected U.S. auto sales numbers. Economic data was mixed. Each benchmarks gained at least 1%, limiting the weekly losses.For a look at the issues currently facing the markets, make sure to read today’s Ahead of Wall Street articleThe […]
Technology Indices and Creative Destruction – When Might the Bubble Burst?Publically traded technology stocks trade on modest multiples compared to 2000
Private sector overinvestment may, however, be cause for concern
European technology companies have outperformed US this year – it may not last
Technology and growth stocks remain highly correlated to the major indices
I adhere to the belief that technology and other such […]
By Mark Hansen, Australia, MarketCap:There are six large (with a market cap of over AUD50 billion) listed companies in Australia. The biggest four are banks, the fifth is BHP, one of the world’s largest mining companies. The sixth is the world’s most over-priced Telco, Telstra. The table below puts these companies into international perspective. They are small on a world […]
Long story short… yes, there appears to be a relationship between economic growth and stock market performance within the U.S. (and developed world), but that relationship holds only over longer periods of time and does not hold for all countries (less developed countries often “divert” growth to the political elite). Also, for those interested in the relationship between long-term economic […]
Submitted by Michael Snyder via The Economic Collapse blog,The higher financial markets rise, the harder they fall. By any objective measurement, the stock market is currently well into bubble territory. Anyone should be able to see this – all you have to do is look at the charts. Sadly, most of us never seem to learn from history. Most of […]
Dear Reader,Non-farm payrolls in March in the USA were weak. I expect a very weak GDP reading for the first quarter of 2015. Overall, I forecast US GDP to grow no more than 2.5% year on year in 2015. Actually, I think the growth year on year of US GDP for 2015 will be closer to 2.0% than to 2.5%.That […]
Benchmarks ended the last trading session of the week on a positive note after Fed Chair Janet Yellen said there was a possibility of a gradual hike in interest rates sometime this year. The Nasdaq was boosted by a possible deal between Intel and Altera. Gains in bio-tech stocks also helped the Nasdaq end in positive territory. However, benchmarks reported […]
