Stock Market April Cycle LowStock-Markets / Cycles AnalysisApr 21, 2015 – 06:04 PM GMTBy: Ed_CarlsonAlthough my Hybrid Lindsay forecasts always assume a small time window surrounds any single-date point forecast, the forecast for a high on April 15 (see last week’s commentary) was spot-on. The work of George Lindsay deals with time (not price) and tells us that the pullback […]
Stock Market 6 Month CycleStock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014Aug 26, 2014 – 12:51 PM GMTBy: Ed_CarlsonWith the passage of the final high of the 2009 bull market high in the Dow (precisely forecast by the Lindsay model on July 17) our attention now turns to the S&P 500. Unfortunately, Lindsay’s methods only apply to the Dow so we must use […]
Stock Market VIX AnalysisStock-Markets / VolatilityJul 22, 2014 – 03:32 PM GMTBy: Ed_CarlsonThe CBOE Market Volatility index, or VIX, is a key measure of market expectations of near-term volatility conveyed by S&P 500 stock index option prices. The VIX moves inversely with equities so that when equities are rising, the VIX is falling and vice versa.Important (and not so important) […]
Lindsay: The Stock Market 2011 Basic AdvanceStock-Markets / Cycles AnalysisJul 15, 2014 – 06:16 PM GMTBy: Ed_CarlsonOver the past several months I have debated from which low of the 2011 Sideways Movement to count the current basic advance; 10/4/11, 11/25/11, or 12/19/11.The first two lows were forecast by Middle Sections telling us that they are significant and should play a […]
Stock Market Cycles Middle SectionsStock-Markets / Cycles AnalysisApr 16, 2014 – 02:42 PM GMTBy: Ed_Carlson
An advancing Middle Section from early 2009 (top) pointed to two separate highs last week. The definition of a Middle Section is a period of time in which the Dow’s rate of advance slows relative to what comes both before […]
Stock Market and U.S. Mid-Term Election YearsStock-Markets / Seasonal TrendsMar 04, 2014 – 02:02 PM GMTBy: Ed_Carlson
Mid-term election years are typically poor performers for most of the year until finding a bottom in the fall and beginning a rally which lasts well into the following pre-election year.The traditional approach to seasonality during a […]
John Hussman(chart and background h/t Claasen Research, James Goode, Thomas Bulkowski)Among the more unusual stock market chart patterns is the “three peaks and a domed house.”
Observed by a technician named George Lindsay, the formation includes 28 inflection points that basically look like three peaks and a domed house.Not too many people take the pattern too seriously. But some chart watchers […]
Stock Market Three Peaks and a (Complex) Domed HouseStock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014Feb 11, 2014 – 09:07 PM GMTBy: Ed_Carlson
The internet has been abuzz for several weeks about an analogue (discovered by Tom DeMark and popularized by Tom McClellan and others) of the bull market top in 1929 and our current market. […]
