macro

Crescat Capital Quarterly Investor Letter Q2 2015

Download Letter (PDF)June 12, 2015Crescat Capital Quarterly Investor Letter Q2 2015Performance UpdateWe are pleased to report that the Crescat Global Macro Fund was recently named one of the top-ten performing global macro hedge funds by BarclayHedge for the three years ended 3/31/2015. As shown in the table below, all three Crescat strategies performed strongly in Q1 while the S&P 500 […]

The remarkable similarity between Apple and biotech – CNBC.com

For one top technician, there are only two names that matter to the market right now: Apple and biotech.”The correlation between Apple and biotech is outstanding,” technical analyst Carter Worth said Friday on CNBC’s “Options Action.” In what he’s dubbing the “king and queen” of the market, Worth said, “The way the two act, you’d think nothing else in the […]

Hedge Funds Gain +1.03% In April

Guest post courtesy of the Hennessee Group.
Hedge Funds Outperform in April
May 19, 2015 – New York, NY – Hennessee Group LLC announced today that the Hennessee Hedge Fund Index gained +1.03% in April (+3.71% YTD), while the S&P 500 gained 0.85% (+1.29% YTD), the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose gained 0.36% (+0.10% YTD), and the NASDAQ Composite Index rose 0.83% […]

Macro Morning (China rocket)

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Why become a member?Australia’s economy is not a market so much as it is a spaghetti bowl of vested interests, tax distortions and imbalances. In such a context, only a hard-nosed and independent economic and market analysis will deliver you an investment edge. Macrobusiness daily analysis is cleansed of the biases […]

DigitalBTC Makes History With Australian Stock Market Debut

Australian multi-service bitcoin company digitalBTC will make history today as the first cryptocurrency-focused company to trade on a major mainstream stock exchange.DigitalBTC, which began as a mining operation but also engages in bitcoin trading and is developing retail and consumer applications, debuted on the Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) this morning as Digital CC Limited (trading as digitalBTC; ASX code: DCC).The […]

The Arithmetic Of A Declining U.S. Stock Market In 2014 – Seeking …

Now that January has disappointed, market forecasts for 2014 have become less favorable (i.e. “January Effect”). Last month I forecast a 16% loss in 2014 while others were forecasting gains. I’m not saying “I told you so” but I would like to add some more justification for my prediction.As shown in the next graph, Wall Street is forecasting gains of […]

On Its 100th Birthday, The Fed Gives The World Another Stock …

by FS StaffSo the Fed kept filling up the punch bowl and instead of going into inflation of goods prices, it went into an inflation of asset prices. That’s inflation in the same way, but it’s not called inflation. So if the stock market goes up and doubles, we don’t say, ‘Oh, my God-there’s been inflation!’ Or, if housing prices […]

Historical Perspective: How Today's U.S. Stock Market Stacks Up …

By David Larrabee, CFAAs the bull market for U.S. stocks approaches its fifth anniversary, we are starting to see signs typically associated with the latter stages of a multi-year advance in equities. Bearish sentiment, widely seen as a contrarian indicator, has dropped to levels not seen in a generation, retail investors are returning to stocks, and the IPO market has […]