Momentum traders – relying on the ‘trend is your friend’ theme – may have a rude awakening soon as momentum stocks trade at a stunning 50% premium to the market (vs an average 20%). As BofAML notes, high growth, high multiple names that have been leading the market over the past year are showing some signs suggest we are close […]
Remember when WeChat was just a mobile chat app? Tencent’s social baby has long since left that nest, expanding in all directions, and the latest addition to WeChat’s formidable feature set will be a securities trading platform. Perhaps even more interesting, though, is that the app will allow users to open their trading accounts by taking a photo of their […]
2015 to date, has been good for my model fund. I am up 23% vs 0% for the S&P500 and vs 20% for the IBB biotech index.
My long-term performance also remains strong – I have turned 385% over the past 10 years vs 76% for the S&P500.I anticipate the second half of 2015 will also be good for my fund. […]
Bloomberg TVTom LeeIn the last few weeks, concern has grown that US stocks may have peaked. Fundstrat Global’s Tom Lee isn’t so worried. In fact, he’s got a 2,325 year-end target for the S&P 500. That’s 11% higher from Friday’s levels.”[W]e continue to see a “catch-up” trade for US equities through year-end,” Lee wrote in a note to clients.”The natural question […]
More Charts
“Over the past 10 years, S&P 500 constituents have bought back nearly $4 trillion of stock while investors have added cumulative inflows of less than $100 billion to US equities via mutual funds and exchange traded funds,” Citi’s Tobias Levkovich said in a note to clients today.This is not news. But it continues to be a jarring reminder of […]
I’ve taken some flak recently for my persistently bearish views of the stock market over the past year. Rightfully so. I’ve been dead wrong. And with a record level of bulls it should come as no surprise that they’d like gloat.But I’d like to make a few things clear. First, I’m not a perma-bear. Far from it. I was rip-snorting bullish […]
Trusting Wall Street stock market predictions is really hazardous to your portfolio’s health.In particular, the annual Wall Street stock market predictions made by top strategists are so inaccurate, using a blindfold and a dartboard could do better.These richly paid folks work for such financial behemoths as JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE: JPM), Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE: GS), CitiGroup Inc. (NYSE: […]
Are we at the tail end of the stock market bubble to end all stock market bubbles? Wall Street was full of glee Monday when the Nasdaq closed above 5000 for the first time since the peak of the dotcom bubble in March 2000. And almost everyone in the financial world seems convinced that things are somehow “different” this time […]
…that growth is slowing, the credit cycle could have already peaked and risk appetites are waning.Over the summer I attended a conference which featured Steen Jakobsen as one of the speakers. The one thing he said that really stuck with me is that long-term bond yields lead the economy by about 9 months. If that is true, economists are going to […]
Guest post written byPaul KarosPaul Karos is a senior portfolio manager at Minneapolis-based Whitebox Advisors, which manages over $4 billion in hedge and mutual funds.Health care stocks have enjoyed a persistent bid in the markets over the past three years. Health care was second best performing sector in the S&P 500 during the choppy markets of 2014 (up 23%, […]
