shiller

The United States Stock Market In 2015 | Seeking Alpha

SummaryThe United States stock market has risen to historic highs over the past couple of years largely thanks to the three rounds of quantitative easing of the Federal Reserve.
The stock market has tended to outgrow both the US economy and corporate profits, leading some to argue that the market might be over-valued.
The stock market could still go up another 10 […]

Stocks Are Expensive – Business Insider

ArchivesSee AlsoOne Of Warren Buffett’s Top Investing TipsInvesting Alone Can’t Secure Your RetirementThis Is The Clearest Picture We’ve Seen Of What The Stock Market Could Look Like In 2015The world’s stock markets suddenly look wobbly.So it seems a good time to remind everyone that, if stocks suddenly crash, say, 30%-50%, it should not come as a surprise.Why?Because based on valuation […]

Is The U.S. Stock Market Overvalued? – SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF …

SummaryWe examine the Shiller CAPE ratio to understand whether the US stock market is overvalued.
Prior articles have suggested the US stock market is overvalued based on the CAPE ratio.
I argue that when you analyze the CAPE ratio relative to the interest rate environment the US stock market is not over valued.
This article is in response to an article recently published […]

Why The Downside Risks Of The Stock Market Currently Outweigh …

SummaryThe S&P is currently in the midst of a tremendous five-year rally and has recently reached record highs despite a sluggish American economy and decelerating growth in corporate revenues.

There are many market indicators that suggest that the market may be nearing its peak including […]

Stock market bubble talk may be inflated – The Term Sheet …

A recent story by the New York Times suggests it’s time to sell stocks. Not quite.FORTUNE — If you believe what you read in the New York Times, it’s time to sell stocks.On Tuesday, the Times ran a pair of pieces saying the market is overvalued. Once again, it’s bubble time. The first piece, written by David Leonhardt, was mostly about a […]

Stock Market Crash – Business Insider

Library Of CongressStocks are tanking today.
This move mirrors other dives in recent weeks — a decline that has taken the tech-heavy NASDAQ down 7% from its highs and the S&P and Dow about 3% from their highs.Drops like that are no big deal. But some signs suggest that this pullback — or another one sometime soon — could get […]

Why a mean reversion would be mean to the stock market – The …

If the benchmarks used to determine the value of securities were to suddenly reverse course, the “new normal” could soon be history.By Shawn Tully, senior editor-at-largeFORTUNE — Seldom have so many of the metrics that influence stock prices strayed so far from the long-term trends we’ve come to consider “normal.” Corporate earnings are far above what’s normal historically, interest rates […]

9 Reasons Why Stocks Are Correcting – Business Insider

REUTERS/ Mike Blake2013 was a banner year for stocks, but 2014 has started off on a relatively sour note.
Markets are down so far this year, but that’s actually “helped re-establish more reasonable valuation metrics,” according to Gluskin Sheff’s David Rosenberg.In a new note to clients, Rosenberg says clients should keep in mind “that after a year in which the S&P […]

9 Reasons Why The Stock Market Has Been … – Business Insider

REUTERS/ Mike Blake2013 was a banner year for stocks, but 2014 has started off on a relatively sour note.
Markets are down so far this year, but that’s actually “helped re-establish more reasonable valuation metrics,” according to Gluskin Sheff’s David Rosenberg.In a new note to clients, Rosenberg says clients should keep in mind “that after a year in which the S&P […]

Bubble, Bubble… Who Has Seen The Stock Market … – Seeking Alpha

Everyone is looking for bubbles these days. I, too, am looking for bubbles, so I do not feel alone.The problem is…how do you identify a bubble.Alan Greenspan is famous for saying one time that a bubble cannot be identified, before it bursts! The conclusion he drew from this is that monetary policy cannot fight a bubble…because…if you cannot identify […]