We're 5 years into a 20-year bull stock market: Pro – CNBC.com
We’re 5 years into 20-year bull stock market: Pro
“This is an elongated business cycle,” explains Chris Hyzy, U.S. Trust chief investment officer. Hyzy says the manufacturing renaissance is already happening.
As the S&P 500 topped 2,000 for the first time Monday, Chris Hyzy said that the stock market is just five years into a 20-year bull market.
“I know it sounds easy to say,” U.S. Trust’s chief investment officer said on CNBC’s “Halftime Report.” “When you really think about this, this is an elongated business cycle. You’re going to have fair value through most of it. You’re not going to get a lot of overvaluation.”
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Hyzy identified what he saw as key for the continued bull market.
“You’re going to have some very big opportunities inter-sector and themes. M&A is running wild. But the key to all of this is the manufacturing in the next decade,” he said. “It’s already happening. You’ve got energy independence on its way. The private sector’s piercing through whatever restrictions are being put out there, and you’ve got technological advancement that we haven’t seen since the early 1990s.
“That sets us up for an elongated business cycle, which is about five years into a pretty long secular market.”
Hyzy, who expects GDP growth of 3 percent to 3.25 percent for the United States this year, said that he liked the financial sector best of all, with selected technology and oil-service plays.
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Europe, he added, resembled Japan at the outset of its 20-year deflationary spiral. With credit growth contracting, weakness in Germany and French bond yields below that of the U.S., European Central Bank President Mario Draghi “has to act at some point, and it’s a little too late.”
“I would argue that the first movement on QE in Europe is a good thing for low-quality assets,” Hyzy said. “You’ll get the big rally. And then you’ll levitate for a while if growth doesn’t get there.”
—By CNBC’s Bruno J. Navarro. Follow him on Twitter @Bruno_J_Navarro.
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We're 5 years into a 20-year bull stock market: Pro – CNBC.com
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