Lance Roberts, Things To Ponder: Is The Stock Market Rational Or Nuts?

This past week, Houston, where I live, was flooded by a torrential down pour. However, it was not the rain itself that was the problem, it was the surge in rivers that flow through Houston. As far away as Austin and Dallas, rainfall had already began to flow into the San Jacinto and Colorado rivers which eventually culminated in rising […]

Is Stock Market 'Fear Gauge' Reflecting Calm Or Complacency …

The six-year bull market lives on after the S&P 500 (SPX) finished at record highs—and in a week for mediocre economic and earnings numbers.The broad-market index is now up 1.8 percent in May and 3 percent year to date. With its gain, risk perceptions seem to be easing along with market volatility.But don’t look now. Wall Street’s bullish bias faces […]

Stock Market Poised for a Flash Crash :: The Market Oracle …

Stock Market Poised for a Flash CrashStock-Markets / Financial CrashApr 15, 2015 – 07:56 PM GMTBy: Anthony_CherniawskiMy earlier thesis of an unfinished retracement in SPX hit the nail on the head. Note that it didn’t go above the March 23 high, verifying the weakening uptrend. I recalibrated the Megaphone formation and verified it as an Orthodox Broadening top rather than […]

Weakening Breadth and Rising Volatility in the Stock Market

Here are the reasons I am cautious about the stock market at this juncture:1) We are seeing good buying activity in stocks, as gauged by the NYSE TICK which has been making new highs on a cumulative basis. Among the large caps (top chart), that buying activity is no longer able to give us fresh price highs. (Credit for the […]

Wall Street talking market reversal –

Something rare is happening in the market
Jonathan Krinsky, MKM Partners, turns a technical eye on the S&P to get a read on “three black crows” and whether the negative trend will continue. And CNBC’s Courtney Reagan and the Futures Now Traders Scott Nations and Jeff Kilburg have a short trade on the S&P’s anomaly.
Stocks erased their early losses, spurring some […]

Comment on Market Fragility Returns by Playing the Ponzi

I have been harping all year that signs of a major top abound, and the scene continues to unfold.  I have no conviction at the moment as to whether we bounce a little here or continue lower.  In the big picture, I remain exceedingly confident that we are witnessing a major topping process.  In the short term, I could imagine […]

BofA Is "Growing Concerned", Options Are Signalling A Stock Market …

“We are growing concerned about the potential for a pause or near term correction in the S&P500,” warns BofAML’s MacNeil Curry, as the options market flashes a warning to US equity bulls.S&P500 volatility warns of complacencyWe are bullish stocks, with the S&P500 targeting 2080/2100 into year end. However, in the near term, equity volatility warns of complacency and the POTENTIAL […]

Stock Market Bear Tracks Abound In Wall Street :: The Market Oracle …

Stock Market Bear Tracks Abound In Wall StreetStock-Markets / Stocks Bear MarketAug 26, 2014 – 05:50 PM GMTBy: I_M_VronskyToday’s boundless investor complacency is eerily reminiscent of the unbridled investor euphoria of the roaring 1920’s. And all avid market students remember what happened then…i.e. the 1929 Stock Market Crash.Pervasive investor complacency reigns in Wall Street today…similar to what caused myopic prudence […]

Stock Market New Highs Less Certain :: The Market Oracle …

Stock Market New Highs Less CertainStock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014Aug 18, 2014 – 04:56 PM GMTBy: Andre_GratianCurrent Position of the MarketSPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has […]

Bulls Get Monday Win/ VIX Back Below 15/ Profit Alert! – Momentum … Pre-Market Update for 8/12/2014Bulls Get Monday Win/ VIX Back Below 15/ Profit Alert!9:00 a.m. (EST)The bulls won their third-straight Monday session and cleared resistance, for the most part, following a continued rally off of last Thursday’s lows. Check one.Check two came on lowered volatility, as geopolitical tensions eased and the VIX deflated. And, check three? Well, that came after […]